Michigan
W-L: (28- 8) PR = 99.9000Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1003 H Mercyhurst ( 6-27, 95.5) 1- 1 1004 H Mercyhurst ( 6-27, 95.5) 7- 0 1010 A Providence (22-10, 99.2) 5- 1 1011 A Providence (22-10, 99.2) 3- 1 1016 H Rob Morris (17-20, 96.6) 4- 2 1017 H Rob Morris (17-20, 96.6) 1- 2 1023 H Western Mich (26-10, 99.7) 4- 0 1024 A Western Mich (26-10, 99.7) 2- 5 1031 A Notre Dame ( 9-25, 97.1) 5- 3 1101 A Notre Dame ( 9-25, 97.1) 2- 1 1107 H Wisconsin (23-14, 98.7) 7- 4 1108 H Wisconsin (23-14, 98.7) 1- 6 1114 A Penn State (22-14, 98.7) 7- 1 1115 A Penn State (22-14, 98.7) 2- 4 1121 H Ohio State (17-19, 98.7) 5- 2 1122 H Ohio State (17-19, 98.7) 8- 1 1128 A Harvard (16-15, 97.5) 5- 1 1129 A Harvard (16-15, 97.5) 4- 3 1205 A Michigan St (25- 8, 99.7) 3- 0 1206 H Michigan St (25- 8, 99.7) 1- 3 109 H Notre Dame ( 9-25, 97.1) 5- 2 110 H Notre Dame ( 9-25, 97.1) 7- 4 116 A Minnesota (11-24, 97.8) 5- 1 117 A Minnesota (11-24, 97.8) 3- 2 130 A Ohio State (17-19, 98.7) 6- 4 131 A Ohio State (17-19, 98.7) 3- 2 206 H Michigan St (25- 8, 99.7) 4- 3 207 A Michigan St (25- 8, 99.7) 2- 5 213 H Penn State (22-14, 98.7) 4- 4 214 H Penn State (22-14, 98.7) 6- 3 220 A Wisconsin (23-14, 98.7) 1- 4 221 A Wisconsin (23-14, 98.7) 3- 1 226 H Minnesota (11-24, 97.8) 2- 4 227 H Minnesota (11-24, 97.8) 4- 2 311 H Notre Dame ( 9-25, 97.1) 6- 1 311 H Notre Dame ( 9-25, 97.1) 6- 1 311 H Notre Dame ( 9-25, 97.1) 6- 1 314 H Penn State (22-14, 98.7) 5- 2
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1003 H Mercyhurst 1- 1 0 5 -- -4.75
1004 H Mercyhurst 7- 0 7 5 + 2.25
1010 A Providence 5- 1 4 0 + 3.62
1011 A Providence 3- 1 2 0 1.62
1016 H Rob Morris 4- 2 2 4 -1.63
1017 H Rob Morris 1- 2 -1 4 -- -4.63
1023 H Western Mich 4- 0 4 1 + 3.48
1024 A Western Mich 2- 5 -3 0 - -2.79
1031 A Notre Dame 5- 3 2 2 -0.40
1101 A Notre Dame 2- 1 1 2 -1.40
1107 H Wisconsin 7- 4 3 2 1.39
1108 H Wisconsin 1- 6 -5 2 --- -6.61
1114 A Penn State 7- 1 6 1 ++ 5.18
1115 A Penn State 2- 4 -2 1 - -2.82
1121 H Ohio State 5- 2 3 2 1.43
1122 H Ohio State 8- 1 7 2 ++ 5.43
1128 A Harvard 5- 1 4 2 1.93
1129 A Harvard 4- 3 1 2 -1.07
1205 A Michigan St 3- 0 3 0 + 3.13
1206 H Michigan St 1- 3 -2 1 - -2.60
109 H Notre Dame 5- 2 3 3 -0.13
110 H Notre Dame 7- 4 3 3 -0.13
116 A Minnesota 5- 1 4 2 + 2.22
117 A Minnesota 3- 2 1 2 -0.78
130 A Ohio State 6- 4 2 1 1.16
131 A Ohio State 3- 2 1 1 0.16
206 H Michigan St 4- 3 1 1 0.40
207 A Michigan St 2- 5 -3 0 - -2.87
213 H Penn State 4- 4 0 2 -1.55
214 H Penn State 6- 3 3 2 1.45
220 A Wisconsin 1- 4 -3 1 - -3.88
221 A Wisconsin 3- 1 2 1 1.12
226 H Minnesota 2- 4 -2 3 -- -4.51
227 H Minnesota 4- 2 2 3 -0.51
311 H Notre Dame 6- 1 5 3 1.87
311 H Notre Dame 6- 1 5 3 1.87
311 H Notre Dame 6- 1 5 3 1.87
314 H Penn State 5- 2 3 2 1.45
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1108 H Wisconsin 1- 6 -5 2 --- -6.61 1003 H Mercyhurst 1- 1 0 5 -- -4.75 1017 H Rob Morris 1- 2 -1 4 -- -4.63 226 H Minnesota 2- 4 -2 3 -- -4.51 1024 A Western Mich 2- 5 -3 0 - -2.79 1115 A Penn State 2- 4 -2 1 - -2.82 1206 H Michigan St 1- 3 -2 1 - -2.60 207 A Michigan St 2- 5 -3 0 - -2.87 220 A Wisconsin 1- 4 -3 1 - -3.88 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1114 A Penn State 7- 1 6 1 ++ 5.18 1122 H Ohio State 8- 1 7 2 ++ 5.43 1004 H Mercyhurst 7- 0 7 5 + 2.25 1010 A Providence 5- 1 4 0 + 3.62 1023 H Western Mich 4- 0 4 1 + 3.48 1205 A Michigan St 3- 0 3 0 + 3.13 116 A Minnesota 5- 1 4 2 + 2.22 |
Michigan Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force | Michigan | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 0) | Michigan | |
| Army | Michigan | Michigan 2- 1 vs 0- 0 | ||
| Bentley | Michigan | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 0) | Michigan | |
| Canisius | Michigan | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 0) | Michigan | |
| Holy Cross | Michigan | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 0) | Michigan | |
| Mercyhurst | Michigan | Michigan | ||
| Niagara | Michigan | Michigan 2- 1 vs 0- 2 | ||
| RIT | Michigan | insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 4- 1) | Michigan | |
| Rob Morris | Michigan | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Michigan | |
| Sacred Heart | Michigan | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 0) | Michigan | |
| Michigan St | Michigan | tied - ( 4- 2) ( 4- 1) | Michigan | |
| Minnesota | Michigan | Michigan | ||
| Notre Dame | Michigan | Michigan | ||
| Ohio State | Michigan | Michigan | ||
| Penn State | Michigan | Michigan | ||
| Wisconsin | Michigan | Michigan 5- 3 vs 3- 2 | ||
| Augustana | Michigan | Michigan | ||
| Bemidji St | Michigan | Michigan | ||
| Bowl Green | Michigan | Michigan 2- 0 vs 0- 0 | ||
| Ferris St | Michigan | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 1) | Michigan | |
| L Superor | Michigan | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 0) | Michigan | |
| Mich Tech | Michigan | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Michigan | |
| Minn St | Michigan | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 0) | Michigan | |
| No Mich | Michigan | Michigan 2- 1 vs 0- 2 | ||
| St. Thomas | Michigan | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 0) | Michigan | |
| Alaska | Michigan | Michigan 2- 1 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Alaska Anch | Michigan | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Michigan | |
| Lindenwood | Michigan | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 1) | Michigan | |
| LIU | Michigan | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) | Michigan | |
| Stonehill | Michigan | Michigan 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Brown | Michigan | Michigan 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Clarkson | Michigan | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Michigan | |
| Colgate | Michigan | Michigan 2- 1 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Cornell | Michigan | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Michigan | |
| Dartmouth | Michigan | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Michigan | |
| Harvard | Michigan | Michigan | ||
| Princeton | Michigan | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Michigan | |
| Quinnipiac | Michigan | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Michigan | |
| RPI | Michigan | Michigan 2- 0 vs 0- 1 | ||
| St Lawrence | Michigan | Michigan 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Union | Michigan | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Michigan | |
| Yale | Michigan | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Michigan | |
| Boston Col | Michigan | Michigan 4- 1 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Boston Univ | Michigan | Michigan 2- 1 vs 0- 1 | ||
| Connecticut | Michigan | Michigan 3- 0 vs 1- 1 | ||
| Maine | Michigan | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 0) | Michigan | |
| UMass | Michigan | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Michigan | |
| Merrimack | Michigan | Michigan 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| New Hamp | Michigan | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 0) | Michigan | |
| Northeastern | Michigan | Michigan 2- 0 vs 0- 0 | ||
| Providence | Michigan | Michigan | ||
| UMass Lowell | Michigan | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) | Michigan | |
| Vermont | Michigan | Michigan 2- 0 vs 0- 1 | ||
| Arizona St | Michigan | Michigan 4- 2 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Colorado Col | Michigan | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 0) | Michigan | |
| Denver | Michigan | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Michigan | |
| Miami | Michigan | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Michigan | |
| Minn Duluth | Michigan | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Michigan | |
| North Dakota | Michigan | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 0) | Michigan | |
| Omaha | Michigan | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Michigan | |
| St Cloud St | Michigan | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Michigan | |
| Western Mich | Michigan | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 0) | Michigan |
PowerWise = 62
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 35.94
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Mercyhurst ( 6-27, 95.5) 1- 1 -4.38 1.00 -0.36 0.95 ********
0 H Mercyhurst ( 6-27, 95.5) 7- 0 -4.38 1.00 -0.36 0.95 1.20
0 A Providence (22-10, 99.2) 5- 1 -0.74 3.71 0.36 0.95 7.70
0 A Providence (22-10, 99.2) 3- 1 -0.74 3.71 0.36 0.95 7.70
0 H Rob Morris (17-20, 96.6) 4- 2 -3.27 1.18 -0.36 0.95 1.55
0 H Rob Morris (17-20, 96.6) 1- 2 -3.27 1.18 -0.36 0.95 -1.72
0 H Western Mich (26-10, 99.7) 4- 0 -0.16 4.29 -0.36 0.95 7.43
0 A Western Mich (26-10, 99.7) 2- 5 -0.16 4.29 0.36 0.95 -0.10
0 A Notre Dame ( 9-25, 97.1) 5- 3 -2.76 1.69 0.36 0.95 3.88
0 A Notre Dame ( 9-25, 97.1) 2- 1 -2.76 1.69 0.36 0.95 3.88
0 H Wisconsin (23-14, 98.7) 7- 4 -1.24 3.21 -0.36 0.95 5.37
0 H Wisconsin (23-14, 98.7) 1- 6 -1.24 3.21 -0.36 0.95 -0.76
0 A Penn State (22-14, 98.7) 7- 1 -1.19 3.26 0.36 0.95 6.86
0 A Penn State (22-14, 98.7) 2- 4 -1.19 3.26 0.36 0.95 -0.39
0 H Ohio State (17-19, 98.7) 5- 2 -1.20 3.25 -0.36 0.95 5.46
0 H Ohio State (17-19, 98.7) 8- 1 -1.20 3.25 -0.36 0.95 5.46
0 A Harvard (16-15, 97.5) 5- 1 -2.43 2.02 0.36 0.95 4.50
0 A Harvard (16-15, 97.5) 4- 3 -2.43 2.02 0.36 0.95 4.50
0 A Michigan St (25- 8, 99.7) 3- 0 -0.23 4.22 0.36 0.95 8.66
0 H Michigan St (25- 8, 99.7) 1- 3 -0.23 4.22 -0.36 0.95 -0.28
0 H Notre Dame ( 9-25, 97.1) 5- 2 -2.76 1.69 -0.36 0.95 2.50
0 H Notre Dame ( 9-25, 97.1) 7- 4 -2.76 1.69 -0.36 0.95 2.50
0 A Minnesota (11-24, 97.8) 5- 1 -2.15 2.30 0.36 0.95 5.04
0 A Minnesota (11-24, 97.8) 3- 2 -2.15 2.30 0.36 0.95 5.04
0 A Ohio State (17-19, 98.7) 6- 4 -1.20 3.25 0.36 0.95 6.84
0 A Ohio State (17-19, 98.7) 3- 2 -1.20 3.25 0.36 0.95 6.84
0 H Michigan St (25- 8, 99.7) 4- 3 -0.23 4.22 -0.36 0.95 7.28
0 A Michigan St (25- 8, 99.7) 2- 5 -0.23 4.22 0.36 0.95 -0.06
0 H Penn State (22-14, 98.7) 4- 4 -1.19 3.26 -0.36 0.95 ********
0 H Penn State (22-14, 98.7) 6- 3 -1.19 3.26 -0.36 0.95 5.48
0 A Wisconsin (23-14, 98.7) 1- 4 -1.24 3.21 0.36 0.95 -0.42
0 A Wisconsin (23-14, 98.7) 3- 1 -1.24 3.21 0.36 0.95 6.75
0 H Minnesota (11-24, 97.8) 2- 4 -2.15 2.30 -0.36 0.95 -1.19
0 H Minnesota (11-24, 97.8) 4- 2 -2.15 2.30 -0.36 0.95 3.66
0 H Notre Dame ( 9-25, 97.1) 6- 1 -2.76 1.69 -0.36 0.95 2.50
0 H Notre Dame ( 9-25, 97.1) 6- 1 -2.76 1.69 -0.36 0.95 2.50
0 H Notre Dame ( 9-25, 97.1) 6- 1 -2.76 1.69 -0.36 0.95 2.50
0 H Penn State (22-14, 98.7) 5- 2 -1.19 3.26 -0.36 0.95 5.48
------
********
|
winning pts = 139.0799 losing points = -4.9124
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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